As a nation, Russia is sick. This reality shows up in demographic data, but an increasing labour shortage is not the only way that the grim public health situation impairs the country's economic potential. Chronic sickness due to poor lifestyle, pollution and underfunded health care also damages current productivity.
So it is no wonder that public health was included in the Putin administration's 'Priority National Projects' which recycle part of the oil windfall to address the country's most urgent needs. The National Project in health care is a welcome start, especially in boosting the pay of doctors and nurses in primary care. But there is a mountain to climb. The most serious gap is public education on health issues.
It’s not difficult to see why Putin included health care among the four Priority National Projects launched in 2005 (the others being Education, Housing and Agriculture; for more details, see Priority National Project on Health Care). Even the official figures paint a grim picture of the health of the Russian nation. That picture shows up most starkly in demographic data, especially the male death rate (see our related 'Public Judgements' piece Russia's demographic crisis revisited).
Two of the biggest killers, especially of Russian men, are all-too-obvious even to the casual visitor to Russia: vodka and cigarettes. The World Health Organisation (WHO) maintains that nine litres of alcohol a year per person is a dangerous amount. In Russia, average consumption stands at fourteen litres per person. Cigarette advertisements on billboards are everywhere, and, even though these are due to be banned in 2007, simply walking down any populated street in Russia will reveal that smoking is much more common in Russia than in Western Europe or the USA.
Behind such external manifestations of the health problem, the real problems lie deeper. Material hardship for the vast majority of the population since the Soviet collapse has been compounded by the psychological disorientation of old certainties dissolving. Vodka and cigarettes rushed in to fill the gap. Social degradation is worst of all the countryside.
Less obvious to the outside observer is the way in which the primary health care system – the foundation of Soviet medicine – has crumbled due to a lack of state funding. Or the way in which even in Soviet times, technological advances in available health care were not keeping up with growing medical problems, such as cardiovascular diseases and cancer.
Post-Soviet Russia has meanwhile failed to tackle the spectre of HIV/AIDS. In recent years this has changed from being a disease primarily afflicting drug-users and prostitutes to one being spread more and more by heterosexual activity. Only now are serious attempts being made to shake off prudishness and educate young people of the dangers.Government spending on fighting HIV/AIDS is set to double in 2007 to Rb7.7 billion ($289 million). But specialists say that this will still be too little, too late. According to the UN AIDS programme, AIDS is spreading faster in the former Soviet Union than in any other part of the world. By October 2006 there were over 370,000 registered HIV cases in Russia, although this is believed to be only one third of the real total. 100 new cases are being reported each day.
There are some glimmers of hope. Male life expectancy has inched up to 59 from a low point (unprecedented in peacetime) of 57 years. Official infant mortality figures for Jan-Oct 2006 showed a 31% YoY decline. And government spending on health care is rising.
...still remains well below the WHO target of 5% of GDP
Federal budget spending on health care, % of GDP, 2001-6 & 2007F*
*a similar aggregate level of spending is disbursed through regional budgets
But Russia still has only just over half the number of doctors it needs to serve the population and two-thirds of the necessary medical equipment. Funding is lacking also for national vaccination programmes; and only 15% of the planned total for health education of the population is being made available. Speaking at a meeting of the Presidium of the State Council on 2 October 2006, Putin claimed that the National Project on health was heading in the right direction, but warned that there was still a long way to go before any radical improvement would be seen.
By making health care a Priority National Project, the Kremlin acknowledged the seriousness of the situation. But whilst all commentators agree that the system needs urgent attention, there are differing views on prioritisation.
Given the enormity of the problem, the cynicism of Belkovsky and Karev about the Putin administration's health care initiative would strike a public chord in Russia. Their more positive point that the real test of policy seriousness should be public education campaigns makes sense - and echoes the well qualified judgements of the AIDS campaigner Dr Pokrovsky and several others. Official figures show that only 15% of the planned total budget for health education is currently being spent.
The scale of the challenge lends support to government apologists as well as critics - in particular, the authorities' line that the National Project on health is a major departure. A start had to be made, and the only place to start is the sharp spending increases now being seen. The fact that at least half incremental spending is going into the pockets of underpaid health care workers is significant and positive. In this connection, the Chief Medical Officer (Gennady Onishchenko) is right to talk up the fact that doctors and nurses in primary care are now paid more than the national average wage.
Besides the money now being thrown at the problem, Onishchenko himself has shown a new openness in discussing public health issues, a necessary pre-condition for any serious improvements in the situation.
1. The effectiveness of the other half of the National Project spend (that is, apart from pay hikes) - on new equipment, given the vulnerability of all procurement to corruption.
2. Better funded and managed public education programmes on health issues - not just on HIV/AIDS, but on leading a healthy lifestyle, by eating properly, taking exercise and, above all, cutting down on smoking and drinking, will be crucial if there is to be a genuine improvement in the health of the nation.
3. More specialist regional centres being opened, especially for the treatment of cardiac disease, cancer and HIV/AIDS