The Russian economy is overheating, but the roots of the problem are domestic in origin, not foreign, as was the case earlier. This means the usual policy recommendation – “let the ruble appreciate” – is wrong. The government will have to find a new set of policies to address these emerging inflationary problems.
Tinkering with fiscal policies is off limits, what with elections on the way and the recently signed three-year budget targeting a substantial fiscal stimulus of 3-4 per...
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