Christopher Granville

Managing Director, EMEA and Global Political Research
+44 20 7246 7867

Irina Lebedeva, CFA

Economist, Russia/FSU Research - Moscow

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Recent Russia research

* Russia: Nabiullina takes the controls, 11 Oct 2017
* Russia: US sanctions – a contrarian case, Christopher Granville, 28 Jul 2017
* Russia: Rates outlook – the key revealed, Christopher Granville, Madina Khrustaleva, 20 Jul 2017
* Russia: End of Putin revisited, Christopher Granville, 30 Jun 2017
* Russia: Geopolitics less bearish than oil, 23 Jun 2017

See all our Russia research >>

Russia’s fiscal slide: Causes, cure and investment implications

Overview

Now is the right time of year for investors to take stock of Russia’s fiscal position and prospects, and there are stronger reasons for paying close attention to this subject today than at any time in the past decade. The federal budget has fallen into a structural deficit caused mainly by pensions. An oil price cure would work only at an unlikely and problematic long-term level of US$110/bbl. Projections coming out of this year’s budget round assume no falls in the oil price from...

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