Christopher Granville

Director of Russia Research
+44 (0)20 3008 5762

Alejandro Tamola

Economic Adviser

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Recent Russia research

* Russia: Fiscal rule to boost asset prices in 2018, Christopher Granville, Madina Khrustaleva, 14 Dec 2017
* Russia: Domestic funds flow into capital markets, Christopher Granville, Madina Khrustaleva, 30 Nov 2017
* Russia: Putin’s future: Politics and policy, Christopher Granville, Madina Khrustaleva, 3 Nov 2017
* Russia: Nabiullina takes the controls, 11 Oct 2017
* Russia: US sanctions – a contrarian case, Christopher Granville, 28 Jul 2017

See all our Russia research >>

Ukraine: Falling into a fiscal hole

Overview

The monetary financing of Ukraine’s exploding budget (and quasi-fiscal) deficits spells an early end to the recent signs of macroeconomic stabilisation in the form of falling inflation and the modest recovery of the hryvnia. Looking behind manipulated official fiscal statistics, the reality is clear from data on the issuance of government securities – up 290 per cent since October 2008 – with almost all this paper absorbed by the central bank. Any natural economic bounce-back will...

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