Amitabh Dubey

Director of India Research
+91 99999 10781

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Recent India research

* India: Stake sales to test Modi’s political will, Shumita Sharma Deveshwar, 10 Aug 2017
* India: Competition with China enters new phase, Amitabh Dubey, 3 Aug 2017
* India: Smooth GST rollout masks important risks, Shumita Sharma Deveshwar, 27 Jul 2017
* India: Politics hampers RBI’s battle for credibility, Shumita Sharma Deveshwar, 13 Jul 2017
* India: Food deflation changes electoral dynamics, Amitabh Dubey, 7 Jul 2017

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Political instability on the horizon

Overview

India faces a real risk of a fragmented verdict that would produce a weak coalition government following national elections that must be held by May 2009. Neither the ruling Congress Party nor the opposition Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) may win enough seats to dominate a multiparty coalition. The stage will then be set for an extended period of political instability and policy uncertainty, as well as the prospect of another, early election. This would stymie the government’s efforts...

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