Amitabh Dubey

Director of India Research
+91 99999 10781

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Recent India research

* India: Fiscal policy puts Modi at odds with RBI, Shumita Sharma Deveshwar, 12 Oct 2017
* India: Gujarat poll to test identity vs economics, Amitabh Dubey, 5 Oct 2017
* India In Charts: A disappointingly slow recovery ahead, Shumita Sharma Deveshwar, 21 Sep 2017
* India: RBI firm on inflation, despite growth risk, Shumita Sharma Deveshwar, 14 Sep 2017
* India: Modi risks losing control of jobs narrative, Amitabh Dubey, 8 Sep 2017

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Political instability on the horizon

Overview

India faces a real risk of a fragmented verdict that would produce a weak coalition government following national elections that must be held by May 2009. Neither the ruling Congress Party nor the opposition Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) may win enough seats to dominate a multiparty coalition. The stage will then be set for an extended period of political instability and policy uncertainty, as well as the prospect of another, early election. This would stymie the government’s efforts...

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