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Recent India research
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The current account deficit faces structural widening
A recent recovery in export growth has eased immediate concerns about a dramatic widening of India’s current account deficit. However, the changing composition of capital inflows – with a stronger bias towards short-term financing – signals the increased vulnerability of India’s balance of payments to potential outflows. A weaker macroeconomic outlook due to inflation, monetary tightening and higher oil prices adds to the difficulties of managing this structural...