Emerging Markets Judgment

* EM Strategy Monthly, Larry Brainard, Deepak Gopinath, Martinde Bonte, Chieh-Ju Liao, Andrea Giunti, 3 Feb 2012
As the Eurozone crisis moves into Act 2 Greece is no longer driving market sentiment
Strategy Monthly
* EM Strategy Monthly, Larry Brainard, Deepak Gopinath, Martinde Bonte, Chieh-Ju Liao, Andrea Giunti, 6 Jan 2012
The roadmap for EM investors this year has more than its usual share of potholes
Strategy Monthly
* How Korea will weather the Eurozone crisis, Chieh-Ju Liao, Larry Brainard, 8 Dec 2011
Economic reforms have bolstered the country’s defences
TS View
* EM Strategy Monthly, Larry Brainard, Deepak Gopinath, Martinde Bonte, Chieh-Ju Liao, 2 Dec 2011
The Eurozone will break up: Implications for the emerging markets
Strategy Monthly
* Will Europe drag down the BRICs?, Martinde Bonte, Bo Zhuang, Christopher Granville, Elizabeth Johnson, Shumita Sharma Deveshwar, 1 Dec 2011
Growth will slow but the damage will be limited
TS View
* EM Strategy Monthly, Larry Brainard, Deepak Gopinath, Martinde Bonte, Chieh-Ju Liao, 4 Nov 2011
A disorderly debt default and ejection from the euro now constitute the most likely scenario for Greece
Strategy Monthly
* Korea’s international transformation in perspective, Chieh-Ju Liao, Larry Brainard, 31 Oct 2011
Breaking new ground in both trade and capital flows
Chartbook
* Indonesia’s worsening reform outlook, Deepak Gopinath, 28 Oct 2011
Politics takes centre stage as the 2014 presidential elections loom
TS View
* Why Turkey’s banking sector is poised for a rebound, Sevin Ekinci, Larry Brainard, 25 Oct 2011
Our out-of-consensus monetary policy call is that the European financial crisis will lead to an easing in the banks’ reserve requirements
TS View
* India’s coal crisis, Deepak Gopinath, 21 Oct 2011
The government will muddle through but domestic shortages and pricier imports will hit power producer margins in the near term
TS View
* EM Strategy Monthly, Larry Brainard, Deepak Gopinath, Martinde Bonte, Chieh-Ju Liao, 7 Oct 2011
EM will remain vulnerable to renewed bouts of volatility and panic but targeted investment opportunities will emerge amid the turmoil
Strategy Monthly
* Supply responses will be delayed for hard commodities, Deepak Gopinath, 16 Sep 2011
Production constraints, rising costs and resource nationalism will put a floor under prices
TS View
* EM Strategy Monthly, Larry Brainard, Deepak Gopinath, Martinde Bonte, Chieh-Ju Liao, 2 Sep 2011
The decoupling of EM markets is being delayed by the looming Eurozone crisis
Strategy Monthly
* Financial market deepening in the BRICs, Martinde Bonte, Larry Brainard, 15 Aug 2011
Progress has been made, but access to long-term financing remains limited
Chartbook
* EM Strategy Monthly, Larry Brainard, Deepak Gopinath, Martinde Bonte, Chieh-Ju Liao, 5 Aug 2011
Looking for safe havens in the emerging economies
Strategy Monthly
* Turkey’s political turbulence will be short-lived, Sevin Ekinci, Larry Brainard, 4 Aug 2011
Prime Minister Erdogan’s desire for constitutional reforms will lead to more conciliatory policies later this year
TS View
* How to play the scramble for fertilizers, Deepak Gopinath, 1 Aug 2011
Potash demand will soar as India and China boost crop yields
TS View
* EM Strategy Monthly, Larry Brainard, Deepak Gopinath, Martinde Bonte, Chieh-Ju Liao, 8 Jul 2011
Debt woes in Europe and the US will benefit emerging economies
Strategy Monthly
* China’s commodity imports at an inflection point, Deepak Gopinath, 6 Jul 2011
Restocking will boost hard commodity prices in H2/11 and into 2012
TS View
* The internationalization of the yuan – a cautionary tale, Larry Brainard, 16 Jun 2011
Hong Kong’s burgeoning market in offshore renminbi is feeding China’s craving for unneeded dollar reserves
TS View
* Implications of Southeast Asia’s fast-rising wheat imports, Deepak Gopinath, 15 Jun 2011
Higher incomes are exacerbating global market tightness
TS View
* EM Strategy Monthly, Larry Brainard, Deepak Gopinath, Martinde Bonte, 9 Jun 2011
Hard landings and other fables
Strategy Monthly
* Deciphering Brazil’s mixed economic messages, Martinde Bonte, Elizabeth Johnson, 2 Jun 2011
The government’s goal of maintaining strong growth means inflation will remain high
TS View
* What Turkey’s upcoming general election will mean, Sevin Ekinci, Larry Brainard, 25 May 2011
We expect another AKP victory but with slightly reduced support
TS View
* EM Strategy Monthly, Larry Brainard, Deepak Gopinath, Martinde Bonte, 12 May 2011
Stay focused, stay in EM equities
Strategy Monthly