EM Themes

* Crash diet for the global meat industry, Deepak Gopinath, 28 Apr 2009
Meat producers will be forced to restructure as protein demand shifts into lower gear
Commodities
* Agricultural commodities outlook, 6 Mar 2009
Demand, especially for feed grains, has fallen more sharply than anticipated
Commodities
* China: Why industrial restructuring will limit medium-term growth potential, Larry Brainard, Bo Zhuang, 23 Feb 2009
Who are the winners and losers in tackling the excess capacity overhang?
Economic policy and strategy
* False dawn for dry bulk shipping, 30 Jan 2009
The shipping cycle has decoupled from the commodity cycle
Trade and finance nexus
* Where are China’s new growth drivers?, Larry Brainard, Dian Qu, Justine Moxham, 27 Jan 2009
Slowing growth will force a fundamental reorientation in China’s development strategy
Economic policy and strategy
China’s real estate crisis and the risks to growth China’s real estate crisis and the risks to growth, Larry Brainard, Bo Zhuang, 17 Dec 2008
A healthy property market, not exports, is the key to sustaining growth
Economic policy and strategy
The next food crisis? The next food crisis?, Deepak Gopinath, 21 Nov 2008
Low prices set the stage for grain supply shortages as early as the 2009/10 crop year
Commodities
* Supply bottlenecks bedevil emerging markets' power sector expansion, 16 Oct 2008
Hurdles in equipment supply mean power shortages will persist
Global supply chain
* China moves to stimulate a slowing economy, Larry Brainard, Bo Zhuang, 7 Oct 2008
Faced with a spreading global recession, China is taking initiatives to sustain growth
Economic policy and strategy
* The upside in thermal coal, Deepak Gopinath, 7 Oct 2008
Supply lags will cushion the price decline
Global supply chain
* China's Darwinian solution for mitigating the impact of a global slowdown, Larry Brainard, Bo Zhuang, 11 Sep 2008
Restructuring-driven investment will support growth, and the strong will become stronger
Economic policy and strategy
* Rubber’s impending bounce, Deepak Gopinath, 20 Aug 2008
Neither falling oil prices nor the fundamentals support an extended sell-off in natural rubber
Commodities
* China's exports face the music, Larry Brainard, Bo Zhuang, 30 Jul 2008
China responds to global slowdown by stepping up export sector restructuring
Trade and finance nexus
* Oil prices and deglobalisation, Deepak Gopinath, 27 Jul 2008
Higher transport costs will affect supply chain decisions but relocation will not happen overnight
Global supply chain
* How Brazil's inflation cycle will play out, Larry Brainard, 16 Jul 2008
The Central Bank is steering the economy towards a soft landing
Domestic financial markets
* Unblocking the flow, Deepak Gopinath, 6 Jul 2008
Oil supply constraints are driving the market
Global supply chain
* Why China’s economic expansion will remain strong, Larry Brainard, Bo Zhuang, 19 Jun 2008
A closer look at industrial profitability shows rising domestic demand; export growth and increased pricing power will sustain growth
Economic policy and strategy
* Rethinking the global food crisis, Deepak Gopinath, 6 May 2008
The longer-term trend is for higher agricultural prices, but sharp price declines for wheat and rice are in store
Commodities
* How to think about infrastructure in India and China, Deepak Gopinath, Larry Brainard, 14 Apr 2008
India’s private sector-led projects offer the best opportunities
Trade and finance nexus
* China, India and the outlook for global LNG, 3 Apr 2008
Chinese and Indian demand will not be game-changing in this market
Global supply chain
* BRICs go global, 13 Mar 2008
The protectionist backlash and global slowdown will not stop emerging multinationals from going overseas, but not all will succeed
Trade and finance nexus
* China’s inflation: One-off revaluation becoming the lesser of two evils, 4 Mar 2008
China's new anti-inflation strategy is intensifying upward pressures on the yuan
Domestic financial markets
* End in sight for the offshore rig boom, 25 Feb 2008
Brazilian, Chinese and Indian demand will not be sufficient to sustain the market beyond the near-term
Global supply chain
* Europe’s GMO phobia, 7 Feb 2008
Bad for the EU’s livestock industry and soy exporters, but an opportunity for pork and poultry producers
Commodities
* Inflation: the wild card in Russia's hand, 5 Feb 2008
Lacking effective monetary policies, Russia’s inflation is set to worsen
Domestic financial markets