Jon Harrison

Managing Director, EM Macro Strategy
+44 20 7246 7879

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Recent Emerging Markets research

* The GRID, Jon Harrison, Larry Brainard, 15 Aug 2017
* EM Watch, Jon Harrison, Bo Zhuang, Grace Fan, Shumita Sharma Deveshwar, Christopher Granville, Cristobal Arias, Marcus Chenevix, Jules Bordat, 14 Aug 2017
* EM Watch, Bo Zhuang, Grace Fan, Shumita Sharma Deveshwar, Christopher Granville, Cristobal Arias, Jules Bordat, Jon Harrison, Marcus Chenevix, 7 Aug 2017
* EM Strategy Monthly, Larry Brainard, Jon Harrison, Cristobal Arias, Marcus Chenevix, Jules Bordat, 1 Aug 2017
* EM Watch, Jon Harrison, Michelle Lam, Elizabeth Johnson, Shumita Sharma Deveshwar, Christopher Granville, Cristobal Arias, Marcus Chenevix, Jules Bordat, 31 Jul 2017

See all our Emerging Markets research >>

Strategy Flash

Overview

The threat of a downgrade to junk by S&P and possible future downgrades by Fitch has focused attention on what is already priced into Brazilian sovereign credit. We compare Brazil’s sovereign credit spread with other EMs, using both credit rating and fundamentals.

Chart 1: Spread of Bloomberg EM Sovereign Bond Index country constituents vs model spread based on economic fundamentals, including GDP growth and inflation*

Sources: Bloomberg,...

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