Jon Harrison

Managing Director, EM Macro Strategy
+44 20 7246 7879

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Recent Emerging Markets research

* EM Watch, Larry Brainard, Bo Zhuang, Jonathan Fenby, Shumita Sharma Deveshwar, Christopher Granville, Marcus Chenevix, Cristobal Arias, Leighton Hughes, 18 Dec 2017
* The GRID, Bo Zhuang, Christopher Granville, Cristobal Arias, Elizabeth Johnson, Grace Fan, Jon Harrison, Jonathan Fenby, Larry Brainard, Leighton Hughes, Madina Khrustaleva, Marcus Chenevix, Michelle Lam, Shumita Sharma Deveshwar, 12 Dec 2017
* EM Watch, Jon Harrison, Michelle Lam, Elizabeth Johnson, Shumita Sharma Deveshwar, Christopher Granville, Madina Khrustaleva, Cristobal Arias, 11 Dec 2017
* EM Watch, Jon Harrison, Michelle Lam, Shumita Sharma Deveshwar, Christopher Granville, Madina Khrustaleva, Cristobal Arias, 4 Dec 2017
* EM Strategy Monthly, Larry Brainard, Jon Harrison, Cristobal Arias, Marcus Chenevix, Leighton Hughes, 1 Dec 2017

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Strategy Flash

Overview

In this analysis, we estimate the extent to which further correction on the downside may be required for China to regain competitiveness based on changes in real effective exchange rates and the terms of trade. We also consider the likely impact on other EM currencies.

Chart 1: Percentage change in the real effective exchange rate (REER) vs percentage change in the terms of trade since January 2013

Sources: Bloomberg, TS.

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