Larry Brainard

Managing Director, Chief Economist
+44 20 7246 7883

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Recent Emerging Markets research

* EM Watch, Jon Harrison, Michelle Lam, Elizabeth Johnson, Shumita Sharma Deveshwar, Christopher Granville, Cristobal Arias, Marcus Chenevix, 21 Aug 2017
* The GRID, Jon Harrison, Larry Brainard, 15 Aug 2017
* EM Watch, Jon Harrison, Bo Zhuang, Grace Fan, Shumita Sharma Deveshwar, Christopher Granville, Cristobal Arias, Marcus Chenevix, Jules Bordat, 14 Aug 2017
* EM Watch, Bo Zhuang, Grace Fan, Shumita Sharma Deveshwar, Christopher Granville, Cristobal Arias, Jules Bordat, Jon Harrison, Marcus Chenevix, 7 Aug 2017
* EM Strategy Monthly, Larry Brainard, Jon Harrison, Cristobal Arias, Marcus Chenevix, Jules Bordat, 1 Aug 2017

See all our Emerging Markets research >>

Global Themes: Chinese deflation brings risks to domestic reforms and the global economy

Overview

Amid debates about China’s growth slowdown and prospects for economic reform, the continuing deflation in producer prices looms as a largely unrecognized threat to the outlook. Deflation intensifies financial strains on firms by increasing the real burden of debt and on banks by increasing non-performing loans (NPLs). Persistent deflation, coming at a time when the government’s financial reforms are just getting under way, raises concerns that the longer-term goals of those efforts...

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