Fergus Naughton

Senior Analyst, China Research
+86 10 5960 3315

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Recent China research

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China’s property market will survive the tightening process

Overview

The central government’s tightening of the property sector is now more than one year old. The latest official data show prices falling in Q1/12 in half the cities surveyed. Developers face the triple threat of slowing sales, falling prices and shrinking capital. Owing to the importance of this sector for the economy as a whole, the property slowdown contributed significantly to the decline in Q1/12 GDP growth to 8.1 per cent from 9.7 per cent in the previous year. But in our view...

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