Bo Zhuang

Economist
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Larry Brainard

Chief Economist
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Jonathan Fenby

Director of China Research
+44 (0)20 3008 5764

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Recent China research

* China Watch: Outlook for 2018, Larry Brainard, Trey McArver, Michelle Lam, 7 Dec 2017
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* China Watch: China’s road to an automotive superpower, Michelle Lam, Trey McArver, Larry Brainard, Kingsmill Bond, 23 Nov 2017
* China Watch: Financial liberalisation - a step forward, Jon Harrison, Michelle Lam, Trey McArver, 16 Nov 2017

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How China will manage the real estate bubble

Overview

We believe market concerns that the bubble developing in China’s residential housing prices could escalate into runaway inflation are overblown. The current rapid rise in residential construction will lead to a sharp increase in housing availability, dampening upward price pressure from mid-2010. We anticipate policy initiatives before then that will target speculative and investment activities but continue incentives for first-time buyers. Thus even though the real estate price...

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