Bo Zhuang

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Recent China research

* China Perspective: Communist Party Congress - The flaws in Xi’s world order, Jonathan Fenby, 16 Oct 2017
* China Watch: Pressure on housing sales to grow, Bo Zhuang, Jonathan Fenby, Jon Harrison, 12 Oct 2017
* China Perspective: Communist Party Congress - All Xi’s men, Trey McArver, 10 Oct 2017
* China Watch: China’s new growth paradigm, Larry Brainard, Bo Zhuang, Trey McArver, 5 Oct 2017
* China Perspective: Communist Party Congress - What to expect from Xi’s power show, Jonathan Fenby, 4 Oct 2017

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How China will manage the real estate bubble

Overview

We believe market concerns that the bubble developing in China’s residential housing prices could escalate into runaway inflation are overblown. The current rapid rise in residential construction will lead to a sharp increase in housing availability, dampening upward price pressure from mid-2010. We anticipate policy initiatives before then that will target speculative and investment activities but continue incentives for first-time buyers. Thus even though the real estate price...

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