Bo Zhuang

Economist
+44 (0)203 1707 250

Larry Brainard

Chief Economist
+ 44 (0) 203 008 6092

Jonathan Fenby

Director of China Research
+44 (0)20 3008 5764

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Recent China research

* China: More debt, higher rates, “stable” RMB, Bo Zhuang, Trey McArver, 17 Mar 2017
* China: Not the healthy growth mix you hope for, Michelle Lam, 16 Mar 2017
* China: Regional risk-off rises in growing crisis, Jonathan Fenby, Konstantinos Venetis, 13 Mar 2017
* China: Caution prevails in Beijing, Bo Zhuang, Michelle Lam, Trey McArver, 9 Mar 2017
* China: Benign outlook hinges on Fed moves, Bo Zhuang, Jonathan Fenby, 8 Mar 2017

See all our China research >>

How China will manage the real estate bubble

Overview

We believe market concerns that the bubble developing in China’s residential housing prices could escalate into runaway inflation are overblown. The current rapid rise in residential construction will lead to a sharp increase in housing availability, dampening upward price pressure from mid-2010. We anticipate policy initiatives before then that will target speculative and investment activities but continue incentives for first-time buyers. Thus even though the real estate price...

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