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Recent China research
|Korea: Jaw Jaw, not War War – for now, Jonathan Fenby, 28 Apr 2017|
|China: Regulators get serious, Larry Brainard, Michelle Lam, Trey McArver, 27 Apr 2017|
|China’s long march to LNG, Stephen O'Sullivan, 26 Apr 2017|
|China: Outperformance, Bo Zhuang, Jonathan Fenby, Larry Brainard, Michelle Lam, Trey McArver, 20 Apr 2017|
|China: Approaching the mini-cycle’s peak, Michelle Lam, 13 Apr 2017|
See all our China research >>
How China will manage the real estate bubble
We believe market concerns that the bubble developing in China’s residential housing prices could escalate into runaway inflation are overblown. The current rapid rise in residential construction will lead to a sharp increase in housing availability, dampening upward price pressure from mid-2010. We anticipate policy initiatives before then that will target speculative and investment activities but continue incentives for first-time buyers. Thus even though the real estate price...