Jonathan Fenby

Chairman, China team and Managing Director, European Political Research
+44 20 7246 7880

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Recent China research

* China Watch: Resilience as headwinds are building, Michelle Lam, Trey McArver, Jon Harrison, 17 Aug 2017
* China Perspective - Korea, China, US: Edging towards Brink, Jonathan Fenby, 14 Aug 2017
* China Watch: Why the growth path will be bumpier after the Party Congress, Bo Zhuang, Jon Harrison, Trey McArver, 10 Aug 2017
* Korean crisis grows more dangerous, Jonathan Fenby, 9 Aug 2017
* China Watch: Corporate earnings recovery boosts sentiment, Bo Zhuang, Larry Brainard, Trey McArver, 3 Aug 2017

See all our China research >>

UPDATE: The risk factor in East Asia rises

Overview

The visit by a Japanese envoy to Beijing at the end of January, and Xi Jinping’s reported readiness to consider a summit on the territorial dispute between the two countries, stimulated forecasts that tension in East Asia was about to be eased. Even if this does come about, in our view it would be only a temporary phenomenon. Comparisons of the threat in East Asia today with that in Europe in 1914 are overblown. However, we believe that the China-Japan relationship has undergone a...

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