Jonathan Fenby

Chairman, China team and Managing Director, European Political Research
+44 20 7246 7880

Fergus Naughton

Senior Analyst, China Research
+86 10 5960 3315

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Recent China research

* China Watch: Q3 GDP, Party Congress and the IMF annual meetings, Michelle Lam, Jonathan Fenby, Larry Brainard, 19 Oct 2017
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* China Watch: Pressure on housing sales to grow, Bo Zhuang, Jonathan Fenby, Jon Harrison, 12 Oct 2017
* China Perspective: Communist Party Congress - All Xi’s men, Trey McArver, 10 Oct 2017

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China, Japan and ASEAN: The dangers of East Asian brinkmanship

Overview

It is tempting to minimize the current maritime disputes between China and other East Asian countries, particularly the continuing row with Japan over the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands, and consider them temporary spats which will blow away and leave no lasting consequences as the region pursues its economic course. In our view that would be a mistake. We expect the disputes to drag on and become a destabilizing factor in the major growth region of the global...

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