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Recent China research

* China Watch: Strong global growth a tailwind for China's deleveraging, Michelle Lam, Trey McArver, Larry Brainard, 14 Dec 2017
* China Watch: Outlook for 2018, Larry Brainard, Trey McArver, Michelle Lam, 7 Dec 2017
* China Perspective: North Korea scores, US stuck, Jonathan Fenby, 1 Dec 2017
* China Watch: The profit cycle – still some way to go, Michelle Lam, Trey McArver, Larry Brainard, 30 Nov 2017
* China Watch: China’s road to an automotive superpower, Michelle Lam, Trey McArver, Larry Brainard, Kingsmill Bond, 23 Nov 2017

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Can foreign investment transform China's banking system?

Overview

China has launched an ambitious reform of its banks, opening the door to foreign strategic investors. As they have moved determinedly in, followed by financial investors piling into banking IPOs in a buoyant market, everyone is happy for now.

But is such optimism warranted? As argued by our trusted source - a leading China economist - profits are vulnerable to growth slowing to below 8 per cent. Banks may not even be the best financial sector proxy for general economic expansion....

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