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China: Yuan revaluation, Slowly, Slowly

Overview

The upcoming visit to Beijing of Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and other top US officials promises to focus on issues of real substance, especially China's excessive savings and the need to stimulate increased domestic spending.

Investors should ignore the predictable chorus of pundits and analysts predicting major currency moves in the run-up to the meetings. Paulson's initiative is focusing on what really matters for dealing with China's surpluses, not the yuan.

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