Bo Zhuang

Chief Economist and Director, China Research
+86 10 5960 3315

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Recent China research

* China Watch: Q3 GDP, Party Congress and the IMF annual meetings, Michelle Lam, Jonathan Fenby, Larry Brainard, 19 Oct 2017
* China Perspective: Communist Party Congress - What Xi’s new era means, Jonathan Fenby, 18 Oct 2017
* China Perspective: Communist Party Congress - The flaws in Xi’s world order, Jonathan Fenby, 16 Oct 2017
* China Watch: Pressure on housing sales to grow, Bo Zhuang, Jonathan Fenby, Jon Harrison, 12 Oct 2017
* China Perspective: Communist Party Congress - All Xi’s men, Trey McArver, 10 Oct 2017

See all our China research >>

China’s economic weakness to persist into Q2 with potentially explosive debt dynamics

Overview

After the Communist Party Plenum last November, market sentiment was generally positive towards the Xi-Li administration because of its commitments to reform. However this optimism has been punctured by negative news reported so far this year: the weakening PMIs; defaults involving trust loans and corporate bonds; renminbi depreciation; sluggish export growth; falling housing sales; and intensifying PPI deflation. The lagged impact of tighter domestic credit conditions since...

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