Bo Zhuang

Chief Economist and Director, China Research
+86 10 5960 3315

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Recent China research

* China Watch: Resilience as headwinds are building, Michelle Lam, Trey McArver, Jon Harrison, 17 Aug 2017
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* China Watch: Why the growth path will be bumpier after the Party Congress, Bo Zhuang, Jon Harrison, Trey McArver, 10 Aug 2017
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China’s economic weakness to persist into Q2 with potentially explosive debt dynamics

Overview

After the Communist Party Plenum last November, market sentiment was generally positive towards the Xi-Li administration because of its commitments to reform. However this optimism has been punctured by negative news reported so far this year: the weakening PMIs; defaults involving trust loans and corporate bonds; renminbi depreciation; sluggish export growth; falling housing sales; and intensifying PPI deflation. The lagged impact of tighter domestic credit conditions since...

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