Bo Zhuang

Chief Economist and Director, China Research
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Jonathan Fenby

Chairman, China team and Managing Director, European Political Research
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China heads for 2015 slowdown as leadership focuses on reform on its own terms

Overview

The People’s Bank of China surprised the market with an asymmetric benchmark rate cut on 21 November, following lacklustre October economic data. The move raised market hopes that a new easing cycle has begun. We have a more nuanced outlook for 2015 as China’s economy remains stuck in stop-go mini-cycles while the leadership tries to reach a “new normal” economic growth strategy – one that will provide more sustainable growth, despite the deflationary environment...

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