Bo Zhuang

Chief Economist and Director, China Research
+86 10 5960 3315

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China: Fiscal measures to cushion growth decline this year

Overview

Weak data continue to stoke fears of a prolonged Chinese slowdown. Fiscal policy will take centre stage in 2016 as the authorities seek to prevent deceleration getting out of hand. We see further leeway for government borrowing to fund fiscal expansion and thereby control the pace of the growth decline. Key tools will be larger fiscal budget deficit targets, higher local government debt swap quotas, quasi-fiscal spending via policy banks and accumulated unspent fiscal deposits. The...

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