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Recent China research

* China Watch: Strong global growth a tailwind for China's deleveraging, Michelle Lam, Trey McArver, Larry Brainard, 14 Dec 2017
* China Watch: Outlook for 2018, Larry Brainard, Trey McArver, Michelle Lam, 7 Dec 2017
* China Perspective: North Korea scores, US stuck, Jonathan Fenby, 1 Dec 2017
* China Watch: The profit cycle – still some way to go, Michelle Lam, Trey McArver, Larry Brainard, 30 Nov 2017
* China Watch: China’s road to an automotive superpower, Michelle Lam, Trey McArver, Larry Brainard, Kingsmill Bond, 23 Nov 2017

See all our China research >>

Consuming changes

Overview

Consumption in China has not only failed to keep pace with either investment or exports; it has fallen overall as a proportion of GDP since 2000 from 62.3 per cent to 51.9 per cent, while gross capital formation rose from 35.4 per cent of GDP in 2000 to 42.6 per cent in 2005. This trend needs to be reversed and the share of consumption increased if the economy is to be rebalanced on a more sustainable basis with reduced reliance on fixed asset investment.

In urban areas, the...

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