Jonathan Fenby

Chairman, China team and Managing Director, European Political Research
+44 20 7246 7880

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Recent China research

* China Perspective: Communist Party Congress - What Xi’s new era means, Jonathan Fenby, 18 Oct 2017
* China Perspective: Communist Party Congress - The flaws in Xi’s world order, Jonathan Fenby, 16 Oct 2017
* China Watch: Pressure on housing sales to grow, Bo Zhuang, Jonathan Fenby, Jon Harrison, 12 Oct 2017
* China Perspective: Communist Party Congress - All Xi’s men, Trey McArver, 10 Oct 2017
* China Watch: China’s new growth paradigm, Larry Brainard, Bo Zhuang, Trey McArver, 5 Oct 2017

See all our China research >>

The ‘Thucydides Trap’ looms in East Asia

Overview

China’s push for regional influence shows no sign of abating as tensions rise in East Asia, leading to forecasts that the US and the People’s Republic are heading into the “Thucydides Trap”, whereby a rising nation and a status quo power are virtually bound to come into conflict. Regional disputes involving half-a-dozen countries are taking on a sharper edge in the East and South China Seas as the US carries out freedom-of-navigation exercises and Japan steadily eases the...

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