Jonathan Fenby

Chairman, China team and Managing Director, European Political Research
+44 20 7246 7880

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Recent China research

* China Perspective - Korea, China, US: Edging towards Brink, Jonathan Fenby, 14 Aug 2017
* China Watch: Why the growth path will be bumpier after the Party Congress, Bo Zhuang, Jon Harrison, Trey McArver, 10 Aug 2017
* Korean crisis grows more dangerous, Jonathan Fenby, 9 Aug 2017
* China Watch: Corporate earnings recovery boosts sentiment, Bo Zhuang, Larry Brainard, Trey McArver, 3 Aug 2017
* China: Korea circle grows more vicious, Jonathan Fenby, 2 Aug 2017

See all our China research >>

The ‘Thucydides Trap’ looms in East Asia

Overview

China’s push for regional influence shows no sign of abating as tensions rise in East Asia, leading to forecasts that the US and the People’s Republic are heading into the “Thucydides Trap”, whereby a rising nation and a status quo power are virtually bound to come into conflict. Regional disputes involving half-a-dozen countries are taking on a sharper edge in the East and South China Seas as the US carries out freedom-of-navigation exercises and Japan steadily eases the...

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