Jonathan Fenby

Chairman, China team and Managing Director, European Political Research
+44 20 7246 7880

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Recent China research

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* China Watch: Outlook for 2018, Larry Brainard, Trey McArver, Michelle Lam, 7 Dec 2017
* China Perspective: North Korea scores, US stuck, Jonathan Fenby, 1 Dec 2017
* China Watch: The profit cycle – still some way to go, Michelle Lam, Trey McArver, Larry Brainard, 30 Nov 2017
* China Watch: China’s road to an automotive superpower, Michelle Lam, Trey McArver, Larry Brainard, Kingsmill Bond, 23 Nov 2017

See all our China research >>

The ‘Thucydides Trap’ looms in East Asia

Overview

China’s push for regional influence shows no sign of abating as tensions rise in East Asia, leading to forecasts that the US and the People’s Republic are heading into the “Thucydides Trap”, whereby a rising nation and a status quo power are virtually bound to come into conflict. Regional disputes involving half-a-dozen countries are taking on a sharper edge in the East and South China Seas as the US carries out freedom-of-navigation exercises and Japan steadily eases the...

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