Larry Brainard

Chief Economist
+ 44 (0) 203 008 6092

Alejandro Tamola

Economic Adviser

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Recent Brazil research

* Brazil: Closer to the fiscal precipice, Grace Fan, Elizabeth Johnson, 17 Aug 2017
* Brazil: Is pension reform still possible?, Elizabeth Johnson, Grace Fan, 10 Aug 2017
* Brazil: The cost of Temer’s victory, Grace Fan, Elizabeth Johnson, 3 Aug 2017
* Brazil: Can the market really decouple from the political crisis?, Grace Fan, 28 Jul 2017
* Brazil: Can the market really decouple from the political crisis?, Grace Fan, 28 Jul 2017

See all our Brazil research >>

The last credible central bank

Overview

With central banks across the globe falling over themselves to ease monetary policy, Brazil’s Banco Central (BC) has been standing firm. The BC’s reluctance to cut interest rates to stimulate the economy reflects its concern that inflation could push through the upper limit of its inflation-targeting band. But current data show that the economy hit the wall in October and inflation appears to be peaking. We expect these trends to strengthen in the coming weeks, leading to a reversal...

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