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Recent Brazil research

* Brazil: Closer to the fiscal precipice, Grace Fan, Elizabeth Johnson, 17 Aug 2017
* Brazil: Is pension reform still possible?, Elizabeth Johnson, Grace Fan, 10 Aug 2017
* Brazil: The cost of Temer’s victory, Grace Fan, Elizabeth Johnson, 3 Aug 2017
* Brazil: Can the market really decouple from the political crisis?, Grace Fan, 28 Jul 2017
* Brazil: Can the market really decouple from the political crisis?, Grace Fan, 28 Jul 2017

See all our Brazil research >>

Surging real here to stay

Overview

Brazil’s politicians are clamouring for the central bank to speed up the reduction of interest rates in order to weaken the real (R$) and boost domestic growth. Even if the Banco Central bends to political pressures and accelerates cuts in interest rates, a strong real will persist.

What lies behind the real’s performance is a continuing surge of foreign capital inflows into Brazil’s rapidly developing debt and equity markets. Government policy presents a dismal spectacle. In...

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