Andrea Giunti

Economist, EM Macro
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Larry Brainard

Managing Director, Chief Economist
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Recent Brazil research

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Brazil’s efforts to control inflation are heading towards a dead end

Overview

By tolerating above-target inflation and resorting to seemingly unending fiscal stimulus measures in response to disappointing growth performance, the Dilma administration risks fuelling higher inflation expectations and losing its bet that lower real interest rates will reignite economic growth. Although the government has initiated some positive structural supply-side reforms, in our view the results will only be seen in the longer...

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