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Brazil's strong real and its impact on economic policy

Overview

The strengthening of the Brazilian real since 2006 has reduced the share of manufactured goods in Brazil's exports, causing job losses in vulnerable sectors and prompting concerns about the erosion of the country's industrial base. Industrial lobbies are pressing for more export-friendly policies to preserve manufacturing jobs.

We see no risk of the government's response being any serious modification, let alone reversal, of its economic policies. Although Lula comes from a...

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